The Alaska State Capitol on Wednesday, Nov. 4, 2020. (Peter Segall / Juneau Empire File)

The Alaska State Capitol on Wednesday, Nov. 4, 2020. (Peter Segall / Juneau Empire File)

Opinion: The numbers don’t lie, but people do

Newly elected legislators should be open to learning from data once in office.

  • By Rich Moniak
  • Monday, December 7, 2020 9:31pm
  • Opinion

‘Working as an engineer throughout my life, I live by the motto that numbers don’t lie,” Brad Raffensperger said two weeks ago at the state capitol in Atlanta. He was defending the integrity of the state’s election results, which were disappointing to him as a Republican because “our candidate didn’t win Georgia’s electoral votes.”

By putting loyalty to the truth expressed in those numbers ahead of his party’s anointed leader, Donald Trump, and the party itself, Raffensperger’s speech will be remembered as a rare moment of political courage.

A similar test is awaiting newly elected Republican legislators in Alaska. They’ll be seeing the state’s budget problem from an entirely new perspective this winter. If the numbers don’t align with their party’s ideology, will their allegiance be to the truth or the elected governor and the party?

ADVERTISEMENT
0 seconds of 0 secondsVolume 0%
Press shift question mark to access a list of keyboard shortcuts
00:00
00:00
00:00
 

Having been an engineer for 35 years, I can appreciate how numbers provide an objective view of reality. But it would all fall apart without a professional code of ethics. Its “Fundamental Canons” requires engineers “hold paramount the safety, health, and welfare of the public;” “perform services only in areas of their competence;” and “issue public statements only in an objective and truthful manner.”

The latter must be “founded upon knowledge of the facts.”

Assuming Raffensperger did the due diligence required of his position as Georgia’s Secretary of State, he was speaking from a level of competence and factual knowledge that very few have the right to challenge. His integrity can be questioned. But without access to the facts, even that can only be done from a position of severe inferiority.

Compared to Gov. Mike Dunleavy and returning legislators, the new members are entering Alaska’s budget debate at a disadvantage from not having had access to all the numbers. Ron Gillham of Soldotna wants a smaller budget and smaller government. Tom McKay of Anchorage thinks “it’s pretty simple: we need to not spend more than we have.” Roger Holland of Anchorage, Mike Cronk of Tokand Christopher Kurka of Wasilla want to issue Alaskan residents checks up to $7,000 for the amounts the PFD was reduced between 2016 and 2020.

For the sake of the public welfare though, they have a responsibility to be truthful about what they learn in office even if it upsets the pledges they made during the campaign.

Like former Gov. Bill Walker did. In 2014, he campaigned to balance the budget through reduced spending and smaller government. He promised never to touch the PFD. But after being sworn into office, he faced a more complicated reality made worse by the crash of oil prices. It took his administration a full year to develop a plan that addressed the immediate shortfall and long-term budget outlook.

For Walker, setting aside the Republican orthodoxy he once embraced didn’t ruin his relationship with the party. He formally left it two months before the election. But abandoning his lifelong allegiance to fiscal conservatism still required the kind of ethical integrity displayed by Raffensperger.

At a much lower level, former CBJ Assembly member Jerry Nankervis overcame a personal challenge like that. Faced with its own projected budget gap in 2015, the assembly proposed modifying the senior citizen sales tax exemption. With an exception made for those with income-based hardships, nonessential purchases would no longer qualify for the exemption. Despite being a vocal opponent of tax increases and an advocate for spending cuts, Nankervis supported the change, quite likely because while in office he immersed himself in the borough’s real budget numbers.

Obviously, referencing Walker and Nankervis in this manner purposely suggests the new legislators will learn Dunleavy is on the wrong side of Alaska’s budget truths. I could be wrong. But the past few years he’s failed to convince a bipartisan group of legislators in both chambers that he was right.

He also undermined his credibility as a candidate by claiming his budget outlook was based on the price of oil “trending at nearly $85 per barrel.” Because that was only true during a few weeks just before the 2018 election. Prices of Alaska North Slope oil are publicly available at https://tax.alaska.gov/programs/oil/dailyoil/dailyoil.aspx.

The numbers don’t lie. People do. And politicians afraid to admit they’re were wrong or upset the party base do it more than most.


• Rich Moniak is a Juneau resident and retired civil engineer with more than 25 years of experience working in the public sector. Columns, My Turns and Letters to the Editor represent the view of the author, not the view of the Juneau Empire. Have something to say? Here’s how to submit a letter to the editor or My Turn.


More in Opinion

Alex Koplin. (courtesy photo)
Opinion: Public schools do much more than just teach the three Rs

Isn’t it worth spending the money to provide a quality education for each student that enters our schools?

Gov. Mike Dunleavy speaks to reporters at the Alaska State Capitol on Thursday, April 17, 2025. (Jasz Garrett / Juneau Empire file photo)
Letter to the Editor: Law enforcement officers helped ensure smooth, secure energy conference

Their visible commitment to public safety allowed attendees to focus fully on collaboration, learning, and the important conversations shaping our path forward.

Laurie Craig / Juneau Empire file photo
The present-day KTOO public broadcasting building, built in 1959 for the U.S. Army’s Alaska Communications System Signal Corps, is located on filled tidelands near Juneau’s subport. Today vehicles on Egan Drive pass by the concrete structure with satellite dishes on the roof that receive signals from NPR, PBS and other sources.
My Turn: Stand for the community radio, not culture war optics

Alaskans are different and we pride ourselves on that. If my vehicle… Continue reading

U.S. Sen. Dan Sullivan (R-Alaska) delivers his annual speech to the Alaska Legislature on Thursday, March 20, 2025. (Jasz Garrett / Juneau Empire file photo)
Opinion: Sullivan, Trump and the rule of lawlessness

In September 2023, U.S. Sen. Dan Sullivan established his own Alaska Federal… Continue reading

UAA Provost Denise Runge photographed outside the Administration and Humanities Building at the University of Alaskas Anchorage. (courtesy photo)
Opinion: UAA’s College of Health — Empowering Alaska’s future, one nurse at a time

At the University of Alaska Anchorage, we understand the health of our… Continue reading

U.S. Rep. Nick Begich III, R-Alaska, address a joint session of the Alaska Legislature on Thursday, Feb. 20, 2025. (Mark Sabbatini / Juneau Empire file photo)
Opinion: A noncongressman for Alaska?

It’s right to ask whether Nick Begich is a noncongressman for Alaska.… Continue reading

Boats return to the Homer Harbor at the end of the fishing period for the 30th annual Winter King Salmon Tournament on Saturday, March 23, 2024 in Homer, Alaska. (Delcenia Cosman/Homer News)
Opinion: Funding sustainable fisheries

Spring is always a busy season for Alaska’s fishermen and fishing communities.… Continue reading

Gov. Mike Dunleavy holds a press conference on Monday, May 19, 2025, to discuss his decision to veto an education bill. (Jasz Garrett / Juneau Empire file photo)
Opinion: On fiscal policy, Dunleavy is a governor in name only

His fiscal credibility is so close to zero that lawmakers have no reason to take him seriously.

Sen. Jesse Bjorkman, R-Nikiski, speaks in support overriding Gov. Mike Dunleavy’s veto of House Bill 69 at the Alaska Capitol in Juneau, Alaska, on Tuesday, April 22, 2025. (Mark Sabbatini/Juneau Empire)
Capitol Corner: Finishing a session that will make a lasting impact

Sen. Jesse Bjorkman reports back from Juneau.

Courtesy/Chris Arend
Opinion: Protect Alaska renewable energy projects

The recently passed House budget reconciliation bill puts important projects and jobs at risk.

Rep. Justin Ruffridge, R-Soldotna, speaks in support of debating an omnibus education bill in the Alaska House Chambers on Monday, Feb. 19, 2024 in Juneau, Alaska. (Ashlyn O’Hara/Peninsula Clarion)
Capitol Corner: Choosing our priorities wisely

Rep. Justin Ruffridge reports back from Juneau.